← AMS Home✊ Sri Lanka 2022 — When Citizens Actually Toppled a Government Over an Economy
Sri Lanka's first sovereign default was not produced by three isolated mistakes in one year. Long-running fiscal and external weaknesses met lost market access, tourism shocks, large tax cuts, monetary financing, exchange-rate defence and an abrupt fertilizer ban. By 2022, usable foreign currency could no longer cover debt service and essential imports.
🔬 AMS Core Frame
Follow the balance sheet: foreign-currency inflows fell, external borrowing remained heavy, tax revenue weakened, reserves were spent defending the currency and paying obligations, and import capacity collapsed. The fertilizer ban worsened food and farm disruption, but it was not by itself the sovereign-default mechanism.